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CMBS Markets Reopen Amid Tariff Easing
April CPI Cools, California Insurance Rates Spike
The Brick Breakdown

Thank you for your continued support! Recent developments include positive April inflation data, renewed activity in capital markets as tariff uncertainty eases, a major Airbnb expansion, and a 17% hike in California homeowners insurance amid rising climate risk.
📊 Inflation Cools, But Confidence Remains Fragile
April’s 2.3% CPI reading shows that tariffs have not yet triggered broad price spikes, with recent U.S. trade deals helping reduce future inflation risks. However, small business sentiment fell again as firms pulled back on hiring and investment, highlighting persistent economic uncertainty despite easing cost pressures.
🏗️ CMBS Revival Reflects Market Reentry
Brookfield’s $2.4B refinancing of Honolulu’s Ala Moana Center and Arbor Realty’s $800M CLO mark a return to securitization markets as tariff-driven volatility eases. Improved credit conditions and greater clarity around trade policy are allowing large institutional players to unlock capital from stabilized assets.
✈️ Airbnb Expands Beyond Stays
Airbnb’s redesigned app marks a major push into experiences and hospitality services, allowing users to book chefs, spa treatments, and local activities in over 260 cities. With a $200M–$250M investment, the company aims to become a one-stop travel platform that competes not just with hotels but with full-service players like Expedia and Booking.com, offering a more integrated and personalized experience.
🔥 Insurance Hikes Worsen California Housing Costs
California’s approval of a 17% rate increase for State Farm underscores the growing impact of climate risk on housing costs and market stability. As wildfires intensify and insurers retrench, residents face rising premiums that could further erode affordability and investor confidence in the state’s housing market.
This Week in Real Estate: Key Events & Data

Quick Markets
30Y Mortgage: 6.92%
10Y Treasury Yield: 4.47% (+2 bps)
FTSE NAREIT Index: 760.14 (-1.27%)
30-day SOFR Average: 4.33%
Market Pulse
Cooling inflation in April offers relief, but weakening small business sentiment and tighter credit conditions highlight how tariff uncertainty continues to weigh on confidence, investment, and lending
Inflation slows to 2.3% in April, lowest since 2021 – Core CPI rose 2.8% while shelter costs climbed 0.3%, accounting for over half the monthly increase as tariff risks remain a wildcard (CNBC)
April small business optimism falls to 95.8 – NFIB Index hit second straight month below average as sales outlook, job openings, and capex plans weakened amid persistent uncertainty (NFIB)
Fed survey finds credit demand eased in Q1 – Banks reported weaker loan demand and tighter standards, especially for small firms and credit cards, amid tariff-driven economic uncertainty (Reuters)

Brick by Brick: Brookfield Revives $2.4B Ala Moana Refinancing
Brookfield Properties reactivated a $2.4B CMBS refinancing for Honolulu, Hawaii’s Ala Moana Center, following a month-long pause due to market volatility.

• The CMBS deal is structured in five tranches, with credit ratings ranging from AAA to BBB-
• Morgan Stanley and other banks are leading the transaction
• The complex includes two office towers and a major open-air retail center, spanning more than 2.7M SF
• Brookfield will use proceeds to retire existing CMBS debt and cover closing costs
• The firm paused the deal in April due to volatility caused by tariff-driven market stress
• Market conditions have since stabilized, following tariff rollbacks and progress in trade negotiations
• Fitch Ratings has reviewed the structure and property performance, supporting Brookfield’s re-entry
Takeaway: Brookfield’s move indicates that institutional landlords are reengaging the debt markets as volatility eases. Recent U.S. trade progress with China and the UK has helped restore confidence in capital markets, allowing paused deals to restart. By splitting risk across rated tranches, Brookfield is unlocking capital from a stabilized asset and repositioning for long-term flexibility in an improving credit environment.
Policy & Industry Shifts
Senate bill targets July 2025 hike in FHA multifamily loan limits – Proposed legislation would raise per-unit caps by over 4x to boost affordable rental housing development (GlobeSt)
Residential
Falling rents driven by oversupply contrast with rising insurance costs in high-risk states like California, highlighting affordability pressures that are reshaping both renter and homeowner markets
U.S. asking rents fall 1% YoY in April – Largest annual drop in 14 months driven by apartment oversupply, with Austin down 10% and national median rent at $1,625 (Redfin)
Minority homeowners face higher climate risks – Black and Hispanic households are more exposed to extreme heat, wind, and fire, worsening inequality (Zillow)
California approves 17% homeowners insurance rate hike for State Farm – Move follows wildfire losses and S&P downgrade, as insurer seeks stabilization amid state’s insurance crisis (TheRealDeal)
Industrial
A 35% surge in China-to-U.S. freight bookings following the trade deal signals pent-up demand and suggests supply chain activity may rebound quickly, though capacity constraints could create short-term bottlenecks
Biotech firms announce $1.2B in U.S. expansions – Greentech and Roche plan major manufacturing projects in NC and IN as tariffs and executive orders accelerate stateside life sciences investment (Bisnow)
US logistics company Flexport sees 35% jump in China-to-U.S. freight bookings on first day – Surge follows U.S.-China trade deal, with CEO warning of looming backlog (X)
Our ocean freight bookings from China to US increased 35% in the first day since the trade deal. A big backlog is looming, soon the ships will be sold out.
— Ryan Petersen (@typesfast)
11:45 PM • May 12, 2025
Market Mix
Tourism faces a prolonged recovery as policy hurdles and strong currency cut visitor spending, while data centers remain a bright spot with AI-driven demand keeping vacancies low across key metros
Hospitality
U.S. to lose $12.5B in tourism revenue in 2025 – WTTC cites strong dollar, post-Covid rules, and “America First” sentiment as visitor spending falls and recovery delays until 2030 (Bloomberg)
Airbnb launches redesigned app with experiences and services business – New $200M–$250M push lets users book chefs, spa treatments, and local experiences to compete with hotel-style offerings across 260+ cities (Airbnb)
Data Centers
U.S. data center market enters 2025 strong – Despite a pause in absorption, AI and cloud demand keep vacancy low, with Dallas, Las Vegas, and Boston leading regional growth (ConnectCRE)
Financings
Loans
Pearlstone Partners secures $154.5M construction loan for Austin, TX condo project – The Belvedere will deliver 3-building complex by June 2027 (CoStar)
Arton Holdings secures $58M construction loan for Phoenix-area multifamily – PCCP to finance 261-unit Parker on Higley project in Gilbert, with delivery expected in Q4 2026 (CommercialObserver)
Kirkland Development secures $53.3M Commercial Property Assessed Clean Energy (C-PACE)loan for Camas, WA multifamily – Peachtree funds completion and energy upgrades at 141-unit Ledges at Palisades near Portland (CommercialObserver)
Securitizations
Brookfield’s $2.4B CMBS and Arbor’s $800M CLO mark a reawakening in CRE securitization, as easing tariff pressures and improving credit conditions restore investor appetite for structured debt
Brookfield revives $2.4B CMBS for Ala Moana Center – Honolulu mall and office complex to be refinanced amid tariff-driven market rebound and improved credit conditions (Bloomberg)
Arbor Realty Trust returns to CLO market with $800M deal – First securitization since 2022 bundles build-to-rent loans as CRE credit outlook improves (Bloomberg)
Kiavi closes $300M residential transition loan securitization – Oversubscribed deal boosts residential bridge loan capacity by $1B as 2025 originations hit record $2.5B through April (ConnectCRE)
M&A
Company M&A
New Home Co.’s $1.2B acquisition of Landsea Homes signals accelerating homebuilder consolidation as firms scale up to navigate affordability challenges, land constraints, and shifting buyer demand
New Home Co. acquires Landsea Homes for $1.2B – Apollo-backed deal will create a top 25 U.S. homebuilder by combining two fast-growing firms with over 3,900 closings in 2024 (BuilderOnline)
JPMorgan to exit 35.5% stake in DC-based office developer Carr Properties – JPMorgan will receive three assets in exchange, while Alony Hetz increases its stake to 77.2% with a $100M equity infusion (CommercialObserver)
Building & Portfolio M&A
UnCommons hits Las Vegas market at $575M – Matter Real Estate lists 40-acre mixed-use campus with offices, retail, and 800 luxury units after April 2025 completion (ConnectCRE)
Blackstone lists Boston office tower– 233K SF Back Bay office tower now 90% leased as office sales pick up and submarket vacancy holds at 15.8%; firm bought building for $117M in 2014 (Bisnow)
Landmark and Stockbridge buy USC student housing for $100M – Acquisition of Icon Plaza and West 27th Place adds 704 beds to LA portfolio, expanding firms’ university apartment footprint (TheRealDeal)
Atlanta Braves expand real estate play with $93M Atlanta office buy – MLB Team eyes more deals near Truist Park as mixed-use revenue hits $19M in Q1, part of strategy to offset seasonal baseball income volatility (TheRealDeal)
Soloviev pitches 12% equity stake in NYC casino to residents and pension funds – Developer seeks local buy-in for East River project with Mohegan near UN headquarters (Bloomberg)
Distress Watch
CMBS distress rate falls to 10.3% in April – Delinquency and special servicing tick up slightly as nonperforming matured loans surge amid refinancing strain (CommercialObserver)
San Jose, CA hotel lost to foreclosure on $134M loan – BrightSpire takes over Signia by Hilton after Sam Hirbod-led group defaults, valuing property 41% below debt (TheRealDeal)
$70M loan on NYC retail condo in Financial District heads to pre-foreclosure – Crown and Morgan Stanley’s PPF fund face action on 170 Broadway unit occupied by Gap (TheRealDeal)
Proptech & Innovation
Flock’s $20M raise highlights growing investor interest in tax-efficient property exit strategies, as landlords seek passive income and portfolio diversification without triggering capital gains
Flock raises $20M to expand tax-deferred property swap model – Landlords exchange rental assets for shares in a managed fund, avoiding capital gains taxes while receiving passive income (Bloomberg)
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