The Brick Breakdown

🏢 Multifamily Capital Returns as Fundamentals Cool
Multifamily investment volume rose 9% in 2025 to $161.6B as capital returned to the sector despite weakening operating conditions. Vacancy climbed to 4.9%, net absorption turned negative for the first time since 2022 with an 8,300-unit decline in Q4, and rent growth slowed to 0.2% YoY as construction deliveries remained elevated.
🤖 Meta Accelerates AI Capex Push
The $3T AI infrastructure buildout is only continuing to accelerate. Meta Platforms boosted planned 2026 capex to $115B–$135B as it deepens its superintelligence push; spending is up ~73% YoY on AI data centers and compute, subsidized by its core advertising business. Zuckerberg still intends to build and operate Meta’s own frontier AI models rather than rely on third-party platforms like OpenAI or Google, despite the company lagging significantly behind current leaders.
☕ Starbucks Reenters Expansion Mode
Starbucks is back in expansion mode and plans to open 600 to 650 new stores in 2026 after closing 627 underperforming locations last year. U.S. same-store sales rose 4% as higher transactions and increased spend per visit reflected improved in-store execution under Brian Niccol, driven by faster service, reduced menu complexity, and a renewed focus on the in-store experience
This Week in Real Estate: Key Events & Data

Quick Markets
30Y Mortgage: 6.16% (+1 bps)
10Y Treasury Yield: 4.26% (+2 bps)
WSJ Prime Rate: 6.75%
FTSE NAREIT Index: 758.64 (-1.00%)
30-day SOFR Average: 3.69%
Market Pulse & Rate Watch
Fed holds rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% - 10-2 vote drops downside employment risk language as Powell cites a stabilizing job market; markets are pricing no move before June (Bloomberg)

Policy & Industry Shifts
Commerce Department plans national AI center in San Francisco - Move places federal AI and export officials closer to Bay Area firms central to defense, energy, and semiconductor initiatives (Bloomberg)
Indiana lawmakers propose state override of local zoning to boost housing supply – Bill would allow by-right approval of new homes and missing-middle housing to address affordability pressures (HousingWire)
Residential
Mortgage demand drops 8.5% as rates rise to 6.24%, highest in three weeks – Refinance activity fell 16% WoW while purchase demand remained flat, underscoring continued rate sensitivity (CNBC)
Multifamily
Multifamily investment volume rose 9% in 2025 to $161.6B – Capital returned despite softer fundamentals as vacancy climbed to 4.9% and net absorption turned negative for first time since 2022 (CBRE)
Multifamily fundamentals softened in Q4 2025 as supply outpaced demand – Net absorption fell by 8,300 units and rent growth slowed to 0.2% YoY while construction deliveries remained elevated (CBRE)
Fannie Mae multifamily lending jumps 25% in 2025 to $68.9B – Volume concentrates among top originators as Walker & Dunlop, CBRE, and Wells Fargo gain share (GlobeSt)
Office
Investors returned to office property in 2025 - Office investment sales rebounded sharply, with San Francisco volume more than doubling as buyers priced assets at steep discounts to pre-pandemic valuations (CoStar)
Tech-driven office demand jumped 87% nationally in 2025 – AI-heavy markets like Seattle and San Francisco posted ~45% YoY growth; overall U.S. office demand rose just 6% (ConnectCRE)
Home Depot mandates five days in-office starting April 6 - Corporate staff ordered back as a frozen housing market slows home-improvement demand (Bloomberg)
Leasing
General Services Administration signs 74K SF office lease at 145 South Spring Street in Downtown Los Angeles, CA – Federal Public Defenders Central District of California relocates to Onni Group-owned former LA Times headquarters in Civic Center (TheRealDeal)
D-Wave Quantum signs 25K SF office lease at Boca Raton Innovation Campus in Boca Raton, FL – Quantum computing firm relocates headquarters to CP Group and DRA Advisors-owned campus (CommercialObserver)
Industrial
Trans-Pacific container rates hold steady at $2,675 to West Coast and $3,928 to East Coast – Early carrier discounts signal softer demand amid trade uncertainty (FreightWaves)
Retail
Local park visits stay well above 2019 levels - Longer dwell times and rising evening traffic signal a durable shift toward local outdoor leisure that is driving downstream demand for nearby retail, dining, and mixed-use real estate (Placerai)
Starbucks plans 600 to 650 new stores in 2026 - Expansion follows last year’s closure of 627 underperforming locations as rising traffic signals an early-stage turnaround (CoStar)
Starbucks U.S. same-store sales rose 4% as the turnaround gained traction – Higher transactions and increased spend per visit drove growth under CEO Brian Niccol, despite continued margin pressure from labor and coffee costs (Bloomberg)
CEO Brian Niccol has focused on improving in-store execution by increasing service speed, reducing menu complexity (parallels to Chillies’ strategy here), and exiting underperforming locations. The company is also working to improve store atmosphere so customers linger longer; about 200 cafés have already been renovated, and the company plans to refresh more than 1,000 locations by the end of the fiscal year. With same-store sales up 4%, the turnaround appears to be working.
Data Centers
Meta boosts 2026 capex to $115B–$135B on superintelligence push - Spending up ~73% YoY on AI data centers and compute as ad revenue funds aggressive infrastructure expansion (Reuters)
Meta still intends to build and run its own frontier AI models rather than rely on third-party platforms like OpenAI or Google, despite lagging significantly behind the current leaders.
Zuckerberg’s ~$600B three-year data center spend is looking increasingly inevitable
Blackstone weighs expanding its role in Oracle’s Michigan data center - Asset manager considers adding debt financing alongside equity as Bank of America targets $14B amid investor concerns over project risk (Bloomberg)
Financings
Apollo Commercial REIT sells $9B loan book to Apollo-owned insurer Athene - Deal prices assets at ~99.7% of commitments, unlocking ~$1.4B of net cash as public-market discounts push capital toward private insurance balance sheets. (Bloomberg)
Loans
Nuveen Green Capital provides $87.3M C-PACE financing for 3151 Market St. life sciences complex in Philadelphia, PA – Funding backs Brandywine Realty Trust’s 495K SF Schuylkill Yards project and marks Pennsylvania’s largest C-PACE deal on record (Bisnow)
Refinancings
JEMB Realty secures $125M refinancing for One Willoughby Square office tower in Downtown Brooklyn, NY – Transaction recapitalizes 500K SF Class A asset and brings in AVRS Partners and KSR Capital as new equity partners (ConnectCRE)
Dwight Mortgage Trust provides $67.5M bridge loan for Elements at Saratoga Lake townhome-style multifamily community in Saratoga Springs, NY – Loan refinances Blue Iron Development’s 260-unit property (Commercial Observer)
M&A
Building & Portfolio M&A
Multifamily
Camden Property Trust explores sale of 11-property California multifamily portfolio for ~$1.5B – Potential exit covers ~3,600 units across Los Angeles–Orange County and San Diego–Inland Empire as Camden looks to reduce exposure to highly regulated markets (Bisnow)
Camden Property Trust is exiting California due to rent control, tenant-favoring eviction rules, high operating and compliance costs, and prolonged entitlement and renovation delays. Capital can be redeployed into higher-growth Sun Belt multifamily opportunities, such as Texas, Florida, and the Carolinas.
Data Center
Tract buys 343-acre site near Morris, IL for $51.5M – Denver-based developer plans 2.9M SF data center campus with up to 1 GW of power capacity, ranking among largest in Midwest (TheRealDeal)
Office
Elliott Management and Morning Calm Management acquire City Office REIT in $1.1B take-private deal – Activist buyers target deeply discounted Sun Belt office portfolio amid widening gap between public REIT pricing and private asset values (TheRealDeal)
Private buyers like Elliott are taking advantage of discounted public-market REIT valuations to acquire office assets with workable cash flow despite low occupancy.
Retail
Brixton Capital buys Quad at Whittier retail center in Whittier, CA for $100M – 315K SF property is 95% leased and anchored by Vallarta Supermarkets, Marshalls, Ross Dress for Less, and T.J. Maxx (REBusinessOnline)
Data Center
Tract buys 343-acre site near Morris, IL for $51.5M – Denver-based developer plans 2.9M SF data center campus with up to 1 GW of power capacity, ranking among largest in Midwest (TheRealDeal)
Hospitality
Bridgeton buys Sheraton Miami Airport Hotel from HHM Hotels and Dune Real Estate Partners in Miami, FL for $67.5M – 405-key asset trades at ~$166.5K per room near Miami International Airport and future Miami Freedom Park stadium (CommercialObserver)
Distress Watch
Deutsche Bank seizes three downtown Oakland, CA office towers from Starwood Capital via deed-in-lieu after $365M loan default – Lender takes control of ~975K SF as Bay Area office distress deepens (TheRealDeal)